The outlook for Gold is bullish for 2012. The European debt crisis, which dominated 2011, will continue to hang over markets in 2012. I’m extremely bearish on Europe. The political and financial systems are inadequate to deal with the serious fiscal and sovereign-debt problems the old continent faces.
Europe and Gold
The risk of contagion is large and the safety mechanism is convoluted (too many countries with too many conflicting interests). Europeans don’t have a handle on the situation; some banks and countries are already insolvent. The situation is extremely precarious.
Europeans will keep kicking the can down the road until it can’t be kicked any longer. When that happens, it’s going to get very ugly very quickly.
